AIR:EURONEXT PARISAirbus SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$108.44
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AAR Corp. is trading below its short‑term moving averages while remaining above the long‑term trend line, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish technical stance. The RSI sits near the mid‑range and the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure despite an increasing volume trend. Fundamentally, revenue is growing robustly and the forward earnings estimate shows improvement, yet margins are modest and the balance sheet carries a high level of debt relative to equity. The company’s price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably below the industry average, suggesting a valuation edge, but the lack of dividend and limited cash reserves temper the upside. Recent news of a segment re‑organization and the winding down of a commercial unit has added short‑term uncertainty, contributing to a recent price dip.
Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with a consensus “strong buy” and target prices implying a material upside. The high beta and elevated 30‑day volatility signal heightened market sensitivity, while the defense‑oriented business model provides a degree of defensive stability. Overall, the stock presents a blend of growth potential and value appeal, but investors should weigh the restructuring risk and leverage before committing.
Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with a consensus “strong buy” and target prices implying a material upside. The high beta and elevated 30‑day volatility signal heightened market sensitivity, while the defense‑oriented business model provides a degree of defensive stability. Overall, the stock presents a blend of growth potential and value appeal, but investors should weigh the restructuring risk and leverage before committing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings miss and price decline
- Bearish MACD and proximity to short‑term support
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth and improving forward EPS
- Valuation discount to industry peers
- Strategic segment restructuring aiming to lift margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained demand in aerospace and defense markets
- Undervalued relative to earnings outlook
- Potential for balance‑sheet de‑leverage as cash flow improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.60%
Profit Margin5.46%
P/E Ratio23.6
ROE12.10%
ROA5.60%
Debt/Equity59.61
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$94.8M
Free Cash Flow$27.9M
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
Support$99.62
Resistance$121.59
MA 20$110.11
MA 50$111.84
MA 200$94.69
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair Value$1.93
Target Price$131.67
Upside/Downside21.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.82
Volatility47.55%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.