AIR:EURONEXT PARISAirbus SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$134.88
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
AAR Corp. (AIR) is riding a strong bullish technical setup, with the 20‑day SMA (≈118.5) comfortably above the 50‑day (≈115.7) and 200‑day (≈98.9) averages, a bullish MACD crossover, and volume accelerating. The price sits near its 52‑week high (≈135.5) and just below the identified resistance level, while the RSI of ~72 signals short‑term overbought pressure.
Fundamentally, the company posted 24.6% YoY revenue growth, EPS beat expectations, and a forward PE of ~23.9 versus an industry average of ~31.4, suggesting a modest discount to peers. However, a high beta (~1.8), 30‑day volatility of ~47%, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 60% inject notable risk, and the DCF model indicates a slight overvaluation of about 2‑3% relative to the current price. Analyst consensus remains a "strong buy" with median targets around $128, underscoring confidence in the growth narrative despite the current premium.
Fundamentally, the company posted 24.6% YoY revenue growth, EPS beat expectations, and a forward PE of ~23.9 versus an industry average of ~31.4, suggesting a modest discount to peers. However, a high beta (~1.8), 30‑day volatility of ~47%, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 60% inject notable risk, and the DCF model indicates a slight overvaluation of about 2‑3% relative to the current price. Analyst consensus remains a "strong buy" with median targets around $128, underscoring confidence in the growth narrative despite the current premium.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought territory
- Price approaching resistance near 52‑week high
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth (~25% YoY) and EPS beat
- Bullish MACD and increasing volume trend
- Analyst consensus of strong‑buy with favorable forward PE
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand in aerospace & defense markets
- Solid ROE (~12%) and expanding integrated solutions segment
- Strategic positioning with cloud‑based software platform (Trax) enhancing recurring revenue
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.60%
Profit Margin5.46%
P/E Ratio29.6
ROE12.10%
ROA5.60%
Debt/Equity59.61
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$94.8M
Free Cash Flow$27.9M
Industry P/E31.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.8
Support$105.00
Resistance$135.48
MA 20$118.54
MA 50$115.69
MA 200$98.86
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$2.23
Target Price$131.67
Upside/Downside-2.38%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.79
Volatility46.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.